Polymarket Trader

mckmcmkcmk

0x5537cf4f47b259a1d753069f6026f4de246af9c8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.18K
Realized PnL: $8.23K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $157
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.84K
Multiplier: 12.74x
User PnL: -$53

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $96.79
Potential payout: $917.43
Potential profit: $820.64
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: -$3.21

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $750
User PnL: -$390

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $262.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $237.5
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$52.5

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$277

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $481.81
Potential profit: $481.81
User PnL: -$307.99

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $11.56
Potential payout: $444.44
Potential profit: $432.89
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: -$8.44

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $312.5
User PnL: -$200

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $306.12
Potential profit: $306.12
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $238.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $61.5
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $40.5

England position

Spread: England (-1.5)

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$186

Yes position

Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $265.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $34.5
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $58.5

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $151.49
Potential payout: $299.98
Potential profit: $148.49
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$25.5

Aurora Gaming position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $942.13

Aurora position

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $764.07

Team Spirit position

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $614.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $493.63

LGD Gaming position

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $435.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $395.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $325.83

Yes position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $298.89

Aurora Gaming position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $298.31

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $297.48

Aurora position

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $278.76

Team Spirit position

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $276.5

LGD Gaming position

Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $275.21

Yes position

Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Cadillac Championship?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $273

BetBoom Team position

Dota 2: PlayTime vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $269.02

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $257.17

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $230

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.49

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226.75

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $215.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.85

Team Falcons position

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $211.5

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210

Yes position

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.91

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18% 200 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 64% 312.5 shares
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)

Team Falcons 68.8% 290.65 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Team Falcons 76% 263.16 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Team Falcons 75% 133.33 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner

FURIA 49% 102.04 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner

Team Falcons 65% 76.92 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Team Falcons 60% 166.67 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner

FURIA 49% 204.08 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner

Team Falcons 61% 163.93 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 67% 447.76 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Spirit 40% 250 shares