Polymarket Trader

0x553f2EF96a9992cAae293247c045B2191991DF57-1772688904253

0x553f2ef96a9992caae293247c045b2191991df57

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $75.24
Realized PnL: $97.67
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $75.24
Potential payout: $190.48
Potential profit: $115.24
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $35.24

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.5
Potential profit: $112.5
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.53
Potential profit: $23.53
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.73

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.45

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.39

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.55

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.18

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.53

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.22

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.82

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.47

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.72

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.98

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.28

Yes position

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.68

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Yes 21% 95.24 shares
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Yes 21% 95.24 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Yes 43% 11.63 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Yes 42% 11.9 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?

Yes 2% 50 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?

Yes 8% 62.5 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

No 85% 23.53 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 13?

No 90% 22.22 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 99.4% 54.05 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 37% 27.03 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

No 44% 22.73 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 37% 27.03 shares