Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $3.79K
- Potential payout
- $28.09K
- Potential profit
- $24.3K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$2.95K
Polymarket Trader
GreySwansRecon
0x55477a6a419117f0b7697a4b1dd3386075683d0c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.83K
- Realized PnL
- $6.39K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $25
- Potential payout
- $263.16
- Potential profit
- $238.16
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $178.57
- Potential profit
- $178.57
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.22
- Potential payout
- $148.86
- Potential profit
- $148.63
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$9.78
Yes position
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Current value
- $4.7
- Potential payout
- $45.83
- Potential profit
- $41.13
- Multiplier
- 9.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $4.76
- Potential payout
- $11.9
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $4.18
- Potential payout
- $10.87
- Potential profit
- $6.68
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Yes position
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Current value
- $1.81
- Potential payout
- $4.76
- Potential profit
- $2.95
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6K
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $361.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250.04
Yes position
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.54
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.63
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.54
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.18
Down position
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.09
Up position
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 14% 6,014.29 shares
- Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?Yes 10.9% 45.83 shares
- Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?Yes 42% 11.9 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 11.6% 7,358.38 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 12% 7,016.67 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 14% 6,000 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 27% 3,703.7 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 25.1% 1,992.61 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 23% 2,200 shares
- US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Yes 42% 4.76 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 46% 10.87 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 20% 400 shares