No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $179.81
- Potential payout
- $404.06
- Potential profit
- $224.25
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$61.78
Polymarket Trader
neculai
0x554fcf1e56b7bbca152c4903611a191013ef89b4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $214.68
- Realized PnL
- $2.14K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $238.93
- Potential profit
- $238.93
- User PnL
- -$23.28
Yes position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.6%
- Current value
- $34.87
- Potential payout
- $126.58
- Potential profit
- $91.71
- Multiplier
- 3.63x
- User PnL
- -$65.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $638.39
No position
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $348.8
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $274.84
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.73
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.45
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 8AM ET
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 8AM ET
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.9
Yes position
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 12PM ET
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.75
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.44
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 9AM ET
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.07
Yes position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $18.8
No position
Canton FDV above $6B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.46
Yes position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.01
Yes position
Espresso FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.56
No position
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.33
Yes position
Romania No-Confidence vote passes?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.62
No position
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.26
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on November 10?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on November 10?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 59.8% 404.06 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?Yes 96.4% 199.99 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?Yes 79% 126.58 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?Yes 87% 199.99 shares
- Romania No-Confidence vote passes?Yes 79% 13.6 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 3.7% 2,430.26 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 10.3% 2,430.26 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 97% 617.28 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 81% 617.28 shares
- US x Iran meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes 92.9% 538.58 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Yes 99.6% 454.54 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes 99.5% 892.85 shares