Polymarket Trader

Cagink

0x555a58a16de7ffefb24cf51233a9da38dc24931a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $215.46
Realized PnL: $2.09K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $1.28K
User PnL: -$110

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $121.88
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $503.13
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$153.13

Yes position

Will Jonas Vingegaard win the 2026 Tour De France?

Ends Aug 9, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $11.05
Potential payout: $294.71
Potential profit: $283.65
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$3.95

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $21.13
Potential payout: $281.73
Potential profit: $260.6
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$28.87

Yes position

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $61.41
Potential payout: $120.41
Potential profit: $59
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: -$23.59

Yes position

Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.43
Potential profit: $30.43
User PnL: -$21

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $467.91

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $232.9

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $150

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.84

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.11

Yes position

Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.74

Yes position

Will Josh Safdie be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.43

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.89

No position

US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 11AM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.15

Celtics position

Celtics vs. Clippers

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.56

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.04

Yes position

Will "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.49

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $44.39

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Rockets

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.38

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.18

Under position

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.9

Yes position

Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.17

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.62

No position

Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.25

Moutet position

Australian Open Men's: Michael Zheng vs Corentin Moutet

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3AM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.95

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?

Yes 70.6% 120.41 shares
Will Jonas Vingegaard win the 2026 Tour De France?

Yes 5.1% 294.71 shares
Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advance AND Spain vs. Austria: O/U 6.5 Total Corners AND Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 1.5

64.5% 79.77 shares
Panama vs. England: England O/U 1.5 AND Spread: Croatia (-1.5) AND Will England win on 2026-06-27?

61.2% 40.38 shares
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners AND Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?

69.8% 141.89 shares
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 2.5 AND Türkiye vs. United States: 1st Half O/U 1.5 AND Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

50.1% 196.67 shares
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 60% 50 shares
Spread: South Africa (-1.5) AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

61.5% 81.28 shares
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5 AND Colombia to score first vs. DR Congo?

62.2% 80.39 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

94% 98.27 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

56% 98.27 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 81% 116.27 shares