Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $650.34
- Potential payout
- $651.32
- Potential profit
- $0.98
- User PnL
- $23.52
Polymarket Trader
weatheralpha-
@marcela117798
0x556bb60768b7f4bea93632abf2b333357d7b4e33
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.2K
- Realized PnL
- $103.73
- Win rate
- 29.2%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.27
- Potential payout
- $533.48
- Potential profit
- $533.21
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$476.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $201.22
- Potential payout
- $201.42
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- User PnL
- $5.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $127.89
- Potential payout
- $127.95
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $2.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $99.95
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $2.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $35.25
- Potential profit
- $35.23
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$30.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $28.03
- Potential profit
- $28.02
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$12.86
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $24.99
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $18.72
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $1.28
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.84
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $19.51
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $14.91
- Potential payout
- $14.92
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $12.29
- Potential payout
- $12.31
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $1.62
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $9.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.3%
- Current value
- $7.93
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $2.07
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $4.99
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $3.78
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.23
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $4.99
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.08
- Potential profit
- $1.08
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.43
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.58
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 24?No 95% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 24?Yes 92% 5.13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 24?Yes 85.6% 35.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 24?No 84.8% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 24?No 80% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on June 24?No 97.8% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 24?Yes 93% 4.88 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 24?Yes 92% 32.87 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 24?Yes 91% 29.22 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 24?Yes 90.4% 18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 24?Yes 90% 36.29 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 24?Yes 91% 25 shares