Naomi02

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.82
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$2.82

No position

Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 24.1%
Current value: $12.05
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $37.95
Multiplier: 4.15x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $12.56
Potential payout: $44.08
Potential profit: $31.52
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $5.97
Potential payout: $39.8
Potential profit: $33.83
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$3.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $8.64
Potential payout: $39.26
Potential profit: $30.62
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$5.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $7.61
Potential payout: $39
Potential profit: $31.4
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 21?

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $18.46
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: -$3.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $27.48
Potential payout: $38.43
Potential profit: $10.95
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$3.65

No position

Will "Disclosure Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.43
Potential payout: $31.04
Potential profit: $30.61
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$11.05

No position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $19.95
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $10.05
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $1.46
Potential payout: $29.1
Potential profit: $27.65
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$6.69

Yes position

Will Antonio Reynoso win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by 5% or more?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $3.24
Potential payout: $27
Potential profit: $23.76
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$8.91

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $14.84
Potential payout: $26.5
Potential profit: $11.66
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: -$1.33

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $17.64
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $6.36
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$0.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.72
Potential profit: $15.72
User PnL: -$4.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $2.55
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.45
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $4.45
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $5.55
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$1.15

No position

Will Enzo Fernandez join Real Madrid?

Ends Sep 2, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $6.4
Potential payout: $9.69
Potential profit: $3.29
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $2.33

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C or below on June 21?

Implied probability: 52.5%
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $5.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 59%
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $3.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 68.5%
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $2.04

Yes position

Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 21?

Implied probability: 76.5%
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $1.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 55.5%
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $1.01

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: $0.51

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.37

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 31.5%
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $0.32

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET