Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $444.43
- Potential payout
- $6.84K
- Potential profit
- $6.39K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$877.2
Polymarket Trader
0x5582...ec6e
0x5582200535837b132cd83b914fd3a912de77ec6e
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $445.91
- Realized PnL
- $246.49
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $341.31
- Potential profit
- $341.31
- User PnL
- -$19.75
Yes position
Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $1.48
- Potential payout
- $128.3
- Potential profit
- $126.82
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$3.23
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125.35
- Potential profit
- $125.35
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110.8
- Potential profit
- $110.8
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.37
- Potential profit
- $86.37
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.17
- Potential profit
- $52.17
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $38.46
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.52
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.98
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.64
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.85
No position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.15
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $12
No position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.58
Yes position
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.4
No position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.45
No position
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of February 15-21, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.31
No position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.59
Yes position
Will SpaceX have exactly 10 launches in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$4.29
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.69
Yes position
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 8-14, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18
Yes position
Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.97
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on March 13, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$41
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes 1.1% 1,372.95 shares
- Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes 0.9% 562.03 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 15% 100 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes 2.6% 598.85 shares
- Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes 77% 20 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes 5.6% 774.11 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes 0.1% 907.33 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 42% 100 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes 13% 907.34 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes 11.5% 26.09 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes 11.5% 26.09 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 30% 100 shares