No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $192.86
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$7.14
Polymarket Trader
azaila1
0x5587ee2b79037544a3842e8421734b89adc05737
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $507.32
- Realized PnL
- $3.05K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $14.58
- Potential payout
- $833.35
- Potential profit
- $818.76
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$35.42
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $50.83
- Potential payout
- $135.55
- Potential profit
- $84.72
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $66.33
- Potential payout
- $107.85
- Potential profit
- $41.52
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$3.47
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $49.69
- Potential payout
- $61.73
- Potential profit
- $12.04
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $50.18
- Potential payout
- $51.98
- Potential profit
- $1.79
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $50.06
- Potential payout
- $51.43
- Potential profit
- $1.36
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Trump say "Ay Ay Ay" in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.3%
- Current value
- $32.78
- Potential payout
- $38.43
- Potential profit
- $5.65
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $28.21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $292.98
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228.25
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Rockets
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.43
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.88
Lakers position
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.67
Baltimore Orioles position
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.53
Flyers position
Flyers vs. Penguins
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.71
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $126.45
Timberwolves position
Spurs vs. Timberwolves
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.29
No position
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.65
No position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.19
Los Angeles Dodgers position
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.94
Pistons position
Pistons vs. Hornets
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.59
Yes position
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.13
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.67
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $103.11
Karolina Muchova position
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.92
Magic position
Magic vs. Pistons
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.93
Canadiens position
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.07
Baltimore Orioles position
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.39
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.61
Sabres position
Sabres vs. Canadiens
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.28
No position
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.74
Raptors position
Cavaliers vs. Raptors
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump say "Ay Ay Ay" in June?Yes 99% 2.07 shares
- Will Trump say "Ay Ay Ay" in June?Yes 99.2% 1.5 shares
- Will Trump say "Ay Ay Ay" in June?Yes 11.9% 42 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 77.7% 70.72 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 78% 212.16 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 81% 61.73 shares
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 97.2% 51.42 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 94% 54.34 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 75% 33.33 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 14% 714.29 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 37% 114.42 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 37% 135.14 shares