Lurki

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $527.77
Potential profit: $527.77
User PnL: -$5.16

Yes position

SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $5.74
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $134.26
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$1.11

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $5.92
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $124.09
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $3.85
Potential payout: $113.26
Potential profit: $109.41
Multiplier: 29.41x
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Will Trump say "Satan" in June?

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $6.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $93.85
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $5.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $94.35
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.95
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $2.54
Potential payout: $96
Potential profit: $93.46
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$1.06

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden before 2027?

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $5.73
Potential payout: $92.47
Potential profit: $86.74
Multiplier: 16.13x
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

Will Trump say "No No No Donald" in June?

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $7.56
Potential payout: $54
Potential profit: $46.44
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $2.05
Potential payout: $51.91
Potential profit: $49.86
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.93
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$3.93

Yes position

Will Trump attend 2 World Cup matches?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $8.4
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $26.6
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 6.6%
Current value: $2.15
Potential payout: $32.63
Potential profit: $30.48
Multiplier: 15.15x
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $2.85
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $27.15
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.3
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $3.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16.1
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026?

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $1.93
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $9.08
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $1.65
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.35
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027?

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.2
Multiplier: 12.42x
User PnL: -$0.54

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ay Ay Ay" in June?

Implied probability: 85.3%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $38.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.45

No position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $7.95

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.87

Yes position

Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.9

Yes position

Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $5.51

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?

Implied probability: 15%
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $3.76

Yes position

Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?

Implied probability: 5%
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: $3.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $3.29

Yes position

Macron out by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: $3.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.13

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?

Implied probability: 7.6%
Multiplier: 13.25x
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

Implied probability: 12.4%
Multiplier: 8.06x
User PnL: $2.94

No position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $1.86

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.75

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?

Implied probability: 6.7%
Multiplier: 14.93x
User PnL: $1.4

No position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.01

Yes position

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Hasan Piker arrested by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?