Polymarket Trader

0x55a7Dc6Ca57E117bD413D6725870439cC375A852-1727147310823

0x55a7dc6ca57e117bd413d6725870439cc375a852

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $189.46
Realized PnL: $1.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $422.22
Potential profit: $422.22
User PnL: -$62

Yes position

Cilia Flores released from custody by January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $384.84
Potential profit: $384.84
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $347.37
Potential profit: $347.37
User PnL: -$66

JD Gaming position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $336.72
Potential profit: $336.72
User PnL: -$67.34

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $12.31
Potential payout: $328.36
Potential profit: $316.04
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$9.69

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $320.58
Potential profit: $320.58
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

OKX IPO in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $23.28
Potential payout: $245.05
Potential profit: $221.77
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$82.72

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $188.89
Potential profit: $188.89
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $187.5
Potential profit: $187.5
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $187.5
Potential profit: $187.5
User PnL: -$30

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $177.78
Potential profit: $177.78
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.45
Potential profit: $136.45
User PnL: -$47

Yes position

France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $123.07
Potential profit: $123.07
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $117.65
User PnL: -$40

No position

Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $12.27
Potential payout: $106.67
Potential profit: $94.4
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$3.73

Yes position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $13.28
Potential payout: $106.25
Potential profit: $92.97
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$3.72

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.94
Potential profit: $97.94
User PnL: -$95

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93.59
Potential profit: $93.59
User PnL: -$10.3

No position

S&P 500 (SPX) opening price Up or Down on January 5?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.29
Potential profit: $89.29
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

SBF released from custody in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $4.7
Potential payout: $84.62
Potential profit: $79.92
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$6.3

Yes position

Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $73.78
Potential payout: $77.66
Potential profit: $3.88
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.78

No position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $49.85
Potential payout: $71.74
Potential profit: $21.89
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $16.85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

KT Rolster position

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245.71

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.19

Dplus KIA position

LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.19

Anyones Legend position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Gen.G (BO1)

Ends Oct 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.36

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.71

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.2

Yes position

Yoon arrested by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.22

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.14

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 9?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.55

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.95

Yes position

Will Eric Adams drop out?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.18

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.3

No position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.82

No position

Will Solana reach $120 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.39

No position

Immunefi FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.63

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.46

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.37

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.26

Yes position

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

Yes position

Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

Will Biden finish his term?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.91

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 94% 77.66 shares
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

No 46% 71.74 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Yes 10% 100 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 6.7% 328.36 shares
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?

No 15% 106.67 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?

Yes 1.8% 166.67 shares
Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Yes 16% 106.25 shares
Will Trump visit China by June 30?

Yes 96.5% 155.46 shares
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?

Yes 16% 187.5 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Yes 97.6% 33.81 shares
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?

No 55% 21.82 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 9% 288.89 shares