Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $412.22
- Potential payout
- $584.72
- Potential profit
- $172.49
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $26.31
Polymarket Trader
horseshoe66
0x55bd1b5db40d6e14e407b99260068d6a4f31cb9f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $412.22
- Realized PnL
- $799.16
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $338.91
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $291.6
Yes position
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.37
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.75
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.32
No position
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $96.96
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.07
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.28
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$117.6
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$241.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.9% 790 shares
- Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes 88% 3.78 shares
- Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?Yes 12% 480 shares
- Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?Yes 12% 500 shares