Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.47
- Potential profit
- $68.47
- User PnL
- -$2
Polymarket Trader
lwoscar
@lwleo81
0x55cf523bda2f34994599a89c0aead96d328acb47
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.71
- Realized PnL
- $181.06
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $7.71
- Potential payout
- $57.14
- Potential profit
- $49.43
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$12.29
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.99
- Potential profit
- $4.99
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.16
- Potential profit
- $1.16
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.79
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.94
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.49
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.84
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.22
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.29
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.96
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.59
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76
No position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $3.48
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.58
Yes position
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $2.4
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15
No position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.83
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 88°F or higher on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 89.8% 125.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be 88°F or higher on May 17?Yes 65% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on May 17?Yes 23% 1.71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on May 17?Yes 1.6% 63.47 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?Yes 21% 3.08 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 14?Yes 4.1% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 14?Yes 1.1% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 15?Yes 28% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 15?Yes 22% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 14?Yes 19% 1.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 14?Yes 22% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 14?Yes 35% 5 shares