Yes position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $7.2K
- Potential payout
- $127.52K
- Potential profit
- $120.31K
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$14.69K
Polymarket Trader
D33pCynic
0x55dbfaefb030207f98ee6cccf1663986a8fc2031
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.45K
- Realized PnL
- $89.31K
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $1.82K
- Potential payout
- $13.5K
- Potential profit
- $11.68K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$2.21K
Yes position
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.45K
- Potential profit
- $10.45K
- User PnL
- -$603.95
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $56.18
- Potential payout
- $5.91K
- Potential profit
- $5.86K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$743.82
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.5K
- Potential profit
- $5.5K
- User PnL
- -$940.44
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $135.63
- Potential payout
- $2.56K
- Potential profit
- $2.42K
- Multiplier
- 18.87x
- User PnL
- -$164.36
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $662.5
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.84K
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$187.5
No position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.02K
- Potential profit
- $2.02K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $429
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.57K
- Multiplier
- 4.66x
- User PnL
- -$398.95
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $192.58
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$41.02
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $16.14
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- -$83.86
No position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $190.77
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$9.23
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $255.78
- Potential payout
- $867.05
- Potential profit
- $611.27
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $55.78
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $397.42
- Potential payout
- $571.91
- Potential profit
- $174.49
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $97.42
Yes position
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $516.63
- Potential profit
- $516.63
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $87.64
- Potential payout
- $297.1
- Potential profit
- $209.45
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $7.64
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.95K
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.82K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.48K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.13K
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.71K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.61K
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $1.34K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $920.97
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $790.04
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 11?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $658.38
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $623.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $616.29
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $574.15
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $349.25
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $252.71
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225
Yes position
Will Barron Trump attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
No position
Will Trump say "Alien" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 8% 1,250 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 50% 1,022.41 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 48.9% 1,022.42 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.8% 1,190.48 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.8% 200 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes 40.4% 5 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes 52.5% 571.91 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?Yes 11.7% 2,559.12 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes 23.1% 867.05 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?Yes 7.4% 1,345.36 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 99.9% 1,904.77 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 99.9% 2,597.1 shares