Polymarket Trader

taishile

0x55e8ac289b188a2bdf50dc0ba66ce923fd8c028b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $609.67
Realized PnL: $417.05
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $295.5
Potential profit: $295.5
User PnL: -$144.8

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $233.38
Potential payout: $233.5
Potential profit: $0.12
User PnL: $0.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.97
Potential profit: $199.97
User PnL: -$129.98

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $100
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $100
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $100
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $76.29
Potential payout: $79.8
Potential profit: $3.51
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$1.89

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.98

Jaguars position

Spread: Jaguars (-1.5)

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.99

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

Rockets position

Rockets vs. Nuggets

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will XRP reach $3.20 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on March 3?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 27?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?

No 98% 79.8 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?

No 99.9% 233.5 shares
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

No 99.7% 100 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 99.4% 100 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 99.5% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

No 99.9% 302.7 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Up 99% 177.61 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Down 98% 250 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Down 95.3% 200 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Down 99% 200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

No 99.9% 203.41 shares
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 14?

No 99.8% 62.48 shares