Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.1%
- Current value
- $58.18
- Potential payout
- $642.86
- Potential profit
- $584.68
- Multiplier
- 11.05x
- User PnL
- -$61.82
Polymarket Trader
0x5601a1712dbf775b2F8eBad35E31BabcEFa6Ca0F-1768266307813
0x5601a1712dbf775b2f8ebad35e31babcefa6ca0f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $86.08
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $571.43
- Potential profit
- $571.43
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $14.17
- Potential payout
- $515.38
- Potential profit
- $501.21
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$5.83
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $476.19
- Potential profit
- $476.19
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $288.03
- Potential profit
- $288.03
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $144.63
- Potential profit
- $144.63
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $5.79
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $137.07
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$14.21
Yes position
Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $5.66
- Potential payout
- $87.12
- Potential profit
- $81.46
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$14.34
Yes position
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.99
- Potential profit
- $66.99
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $2.28
- Potential payout
- $66.07
- Potential profit
- $63.79
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$17.72
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.61
- Potential profit
- $60.61
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.36
- Potential profit
- $36.36
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?Yes 27.5% 36.36 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes 24% 41.67 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 14% 142.86 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes 9% 111.11 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes 13% 76.92 shares
- Will Netanyahu be pardoned by February 28?Yes 13.8% 144.63 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 20% 500 shares
- US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 30.3% 66.07 shares
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Yes 3.9% 515.38 shares
- Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?Yes 29.9% 66.99 shares
- Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?Yes 8% 125 shares
- U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?Yes 2.1% 476.19 shares