No position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $28.99
- Potential payout
- $31
- Potential profit
- $2.02
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $13.49
Polymarket Trader
0x560b...855b
0x560bae7556d2e102bcd39f73c1552cb571a4855b
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $57.53
- Realized PnL
- -$12.9
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $9.72
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $2.28
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $2.85
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.15
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$3.65
No position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $8.98
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $11.47
Yes position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $4.46
Yes position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.7%
- Multiplier
- 3.37x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.9%
- Multiplier
- 6.73x
- User PnL
- -$1.18
Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$12.14
Yes position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$15.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Yes 37.5% 5 shares
- Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No 73% 12 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No 35.7% 9 shares
- Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No 90.5% 20 shares
- Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 9.5% 11 shares
- Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 65% 10 shares
- Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No 86% 7 shares