Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $178.78
- Potential payout
- $272.94
- Potential profit
- $94.16
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $4.09
Polymarket Trader
guerilla3
0x5615cfaeaccf37fdd02abebe797d8cc67599b101
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $178.78
- Realized PnL
- $1.81K
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.36
No position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.23
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.8
No position
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.4
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$90.66
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$148.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?Yes 64% 272.94 shares
- Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes 17% 103.39 shares
- Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes 43% 115.7 shares
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No 90.3% 2,419.91 shares
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?No 86.8% 100.53 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes 23% 800 shares