Y
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $2.82
- Potential payout
- $2.88
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.12
Polymarket Trader
0x562a7C66A2DcBd394146c12498f33E2CDAD3F5f6-1773641273558
0x562a7c66a2dcbd394146c12498f33e2cdad3f5f6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.06
- Realized PnL
- $7.74
- Win rate
- 90.9%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.31
- Potential profit
- $2.31
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.24
- Potential payout
- $2.24
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.69
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
Yes position
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Y
Yes position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?Yes 59% 2.88 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No 97.3% 5.45 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 96.5% 2.24 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No 65% 2.31 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?Yes 98.7% 2.03 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No 55% 2.73 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97.7% 1.02 shares
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 63% 2.06 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?No 99.3% 1.01 shares
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 57% 3.86 shares
- Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?Yes 94% 5.54 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes 36% 8.89 shares