No position
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $857.87
- Potential payout
- $2.56K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$466.64
Polymarket Trader
SweetChariot
0x562bc8068347268d9a69b8dd464d00eed0f9dc09
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.49K
- Realized PnL
- $20.41K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.9%
- Current value
- $2.16K
- Potential payout
- $2.41K
- Potential profit
- $244.13
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$11.16
No position
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $1.96K
- Potential payout
- $2.11K
- Potential profit
- $158.6
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $596.27
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.6%
- Current value
- $1.72K
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $388.27
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$11.68
No position
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be less than 200k?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1.66K
- Potential payout
- $1.66K
- Potential profit
- $2.49
- User PnL
- $143.88
N
No position
Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $1.08K
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $370.71
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$60.42
No position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $851.59
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $276.34
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$95.87
No position
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
Ends Nov 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $101.45
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $97.78
Yes position
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $518.23
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $572.78
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$28.28
No position
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $325.36
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $741.41
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$90.68
Yes position
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.7
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $897.3
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$32.81
No position
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $651.29
- Potential payout
- $892.18
- Potential profit
- $240.89
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- -$54.83
No position
Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $486.11
- Potential payout
- $803.49
- Potential profit
- $317.38
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$43.32
No position
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $409.93
- Potential payout
- $780.82
- Potential profit
- $370.89
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $49.7
Yes position
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $9.75
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $740.25
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
N
No position
Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $478.18
- Potential payout
- $708.41
- Potential profit
- $230.23
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$56.46
No position
Will Waymo launch in London by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $678.18
- Potential payout
- $704.97
- Potential profit
- $26.79
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $5.95
Yes position
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?
Ends Oct 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $40.13
- Potential payout
- $663.36
- Potential profit
- $623.23
- Multiplier
- 16.53x
- User PnL
- -$126.18
No position
Will Waymo launch in New York City by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $619.55
- Potential payout
- $625.18
- Potential profit
- $5.63
- User PnL
- $24.99
N
No position
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $377.06
- Potential payout
- $571.3
- Potential profit
- $194.24
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $4.99
N
No position
Will Iran be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $393.56
- Potential payout
- $535.46
- Potential profit
- $141.9
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $104.41
N
No position
Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $355.56
- Potential payout
- $519.06
- Potential profit
- $163.5
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $2.6
No position
Will Darius Acuff Jr. be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $385.41
- Potential payout
- $494.12
- Potential profit
- $108.71
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $5.42
No position
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.1%
- Current value
- $443.92
- Potential payout
- $487.56
- Potential profit
- $43.64
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $18.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Inter Milan beat River Plate?
Ends Jun 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.11K
No position
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get less than 5m views on day 1?
Ends Aug 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $957.63
No position
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $938.82
No position
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $914.78
No position
FDA approves Sanofi’s Subcutaneous Sarclisa?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $824.49
No position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $765.04
No position
Will the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $648.24
No position
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $628.33
Yes position
Will Rose Byrne be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $571.42
Yes position
Another commercial airline evacuation before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $549.33
No position
Will England win the match?
Ends Aug 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $524.62
Yes position
Will India win the match?
Ends Aug 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $522.07
Yes position
FDA approves PharmaTher Holdings’ Ketamine?
Ends Aug 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $464.49
No position
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $441.77
No position
Will Erin Doherty win Best Actress in a Television Movie or Limited Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $436.18
No position
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Trailer 2 get less than 60m views in first 24 hours?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $406.99
No position
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $404.69
South Africa position
ICC World Test Championship: Australia vs. South Africa
Ends Jun 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $399.07
No position
Will Italy win the UEFA Women's Euro?
Ends Jul 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $384.58
Yes position
Will 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be less than 3m?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $379.73
Yes position
FDA approves Sanofi's Dupixent?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $368.18
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $358.29
No position
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $350.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 85% 95 shares
- Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 85% 133 shares
- Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 84% 126.76 shares
- Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes 31.5% 65 shares
- Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes 43.7% 65 shares
- Will Europe (UEFA) score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 96.9% 44.7 shares
- Will Olivia Rodrigo have 1 song in Billboard top 10 for week of June 27?No 99% 100 shares
- Will Olivia Rodrigo have 1 song in Billboard top 10 for week of June 27?No 98% 15.13 shares
- Will Olivia Rodrigo have no songs in Billboard top 10 for week of June 27?No 99% 39.71 shares
- Will Olivia Rodrigo have 1 song in Billboard top 10 for week of June 27?No 98% 92.86 shares
- Will between 13 and 15 albums be ranked #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?No 99.4% 341 shares
- Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the August 2026 meeting?No 99.3% 26.4 shares