Yes position
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $249.38
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Polymarket Trader
tradguy
0x5631f9e97dc1bcf62959b8367eaea0893ac9a0f0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $90.15
- Realized PnL
- -$26.6
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.38
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $249.63
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.5
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.5
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.5
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $86.99
- Potential payout
- $136.99
- Potential profit
- $50
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$13.01
Yes position
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.28
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $110.83
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Yes position
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.39
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $110.72
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.61
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104.42
- Potential profit
- $104.42
- User PnL
- -$16.43
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or below on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 10°C or below on April 15?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.63
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.03
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.76
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 0.9% 111.11 shares
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 0.4% 250 shares
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 0.5% 200 shares
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 0.4% 250 shares
- Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 0.5% 200 shares
- Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 0.5% 200 shares
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 0.9% 111.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 20?No 41% 18.41 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 20?No 52% 17.96 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on April 19?No 52.3% 25.79 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on April 19?No 64% 34.35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on April 19?No 59.6% 15.48 shares