Polymarket Trader

0x5637B1FFF39c1649F58b11D94180108EE8de7599-1749394783454

0x5637b1fff39c1649f58b11d94180108ee8de7599

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.59K
Realized PnL: $14.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.96K
Potential profit: $13.96K
User PnL: -$6.84K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 11–18?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.31K
Potential profit: $7.31K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 11–18?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.32K
Potential profit: $3.32K
User PnL: -$115

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 11–18?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.22K
Potential profit: $3.22K
User PnL: -$500.2

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.18K
Potential profit: $3.18K
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?

Ends Sep 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.99K
Potential profit: $1.99K
User PnL: -$227

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?

Ends Sep 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $1.76K
User PnL: -$278.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?

Ends Sep 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $1.72K
User PnL: -$376

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $1.59K
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $129.14
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $94.7

Yes position

Will Elon tweet between 200 and 219 times September 5–12?

Ends Sep 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $1.27K
User PnL: -$260

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$782

SK Gaming position

LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO1)

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $781.43
Potential profit: $781.43
User PnL: -$176.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $367.62
Potential profit: $367.62
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $360.74
Potential profit: $360.74
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350.83
Potential profit: $350.83
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $345.31
Potential profit: $345.31
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $320.39
Potential profit: $320.39
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.38
Potential profit: $38.38
User PnL: -$6.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 4–11?

Ends Jul 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?

Ends Sep 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet between 220 and 239 times September 5–12?

Ends Sep 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.06K

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $743.89

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $678.67

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $441.36

Yes position

Will SSC Napoli vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $441.18

No position

US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $389.35

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $350.27

No position

US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $319.86

Alcaraz position

ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $277.41

No position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $270.91

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $261.56

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2025-11-17?

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $252.21

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $251.34

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 20–27?

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $246.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?

Ends Sep 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $241.5

T1 position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5)

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $238.38

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 160–174 times June 13–20?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $227.32

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 26?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.58

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $211.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?

Yes 87% 1,721.82 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

No 92.7% 1,506.32 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

No 82% 1,396.3 shares
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs

BNK FEARX 90.5% 1,144.96 shares
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs

BNK FEARX 84.5% 1,225.46 shares
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs

BNK FEARX 79% 1,225.47 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 23?

Up 12% 1,431.6 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 23?

Up 23% 1,431.6 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 23?

Up 21.2% 5,318.06 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 23?

Up 15.7% 5,318.07 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 20?

Down 99.9% 835 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 20?

Down 62% 835.01 shares