Yes position
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.72K
- Potential profit
- $8.72K
- User PnL
- -$871.91
Polymarket Trader
Vorian
@Vorian_Live
0x563ea80ce1962ce0d1684fd38472eaef6b15a157
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.57K
- Realized PnL
- $5.33K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $3.57K
- Potential payout
- $5.21K
- Potential profit
- $1.64K
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$17.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $984.69
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $730.66
No position
Will gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $371.01
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $360
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230
No position
Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205.43
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150
No position
Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.98
No position
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123
No position
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.63
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66
No position
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.76
No position
Will gas hit (High) $4.75 by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59
Yes position
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.74
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.35
No position
Will Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.16
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.68
No position
Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.09
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
No position
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be 20 or more on April 19, 2026?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.32
No position
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be less than 4 on April 12, 2026?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.41
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?No 68.8% 5,207.26 shares
- 2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?No 58.3% 3,006.59 shares
- Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?No 89% 395.2 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?No 97.2% 3,200 shares
- Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?No 55.7% 730 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?No 96% 3,200 shares
- Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?No 66.7% 489.12 shares
- Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?Yes 45% 90.43 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?No 81% 4,129.93 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 99.2% 5,999.99 shares
- Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes 91% 1,000 shares
- Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?No 91% 198.2 shares