Polymarket Trader

Alfiere

0x56429f2cfb4978ccec187682b88d04ec8d8dce43

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $58.31
Win rate: 90%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Frank Crivello win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $666.67
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $213.83
Potential profit: $213.83
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Trump say "Tomahawk" 2+ times during Hungary PM events on November 7?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135
Potential profit: $135
User PnL: -$40.5

No position

Will Trump say "Australia" 8+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104
Potential profit: $104
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$22.23

Yes position

Will Palantir say "Gotham Platform" during earnings call?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.65
Potential profit: $50.65
User PnL: -$9.12

Yes position

Will Palantir say "Government Contract" during earnings call?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.5
Potential profit: $42.5
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will Uber say "Autonomous" during earnings call?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$0.9

No position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "AI" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$13.2

No position

Will Palantir say "Foundry" during earnings call?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$0.56

No position

Israel strikes Gaza by October 24?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.95
Potential profit: $25.95
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Trump say "Azerbaijan" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.09
Potential profit: $25.09
User PnL: -$15.15

No position

Will Trump say "Drug" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.5
Potential profit: $21.5
User PnL: -$10.75

No position

Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during C5+1 Summit on November 6?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4.8

No position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will Palantir say "AI Growth" during earnings call?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$3.33

Yes position

Will Trump say "Pacific" during Australia PM events on October 20?

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $11.36
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.09

No position

Will Trump say "Asia" or "Asian" 8+ times during C5+1 Summit on November 6?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.6

No position

Will Palantir say "Automotive" during earnings call?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.6

Yes position

Will Uber say "Expansion" during earnings call?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

Yes position

Will Celsius say "Recall" during earnings call?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

No position

Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during C5+1 Summit on November 6?

No 24% 20 shares
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "AI" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?

No 44% 30 shares
Will Trump say "Drug" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?

No 50% 5 shares
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?

No 84% 51.3 shares
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by November 30?

Yes 13% 107.69 shares
Will Palantir say "Foundry" during earnings call?

No 2% 50 shares
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?

No 48.5% 18 shares
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Yes 9.4% 213.83 shares
Will Frank Crivello win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?

Yes 3% 666.67 shares
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?

No 35.3% 42.5 shares
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

No 8% 20 shares
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares