Polymarket Trader

fortniteplayer

0x564735dad6be7134f551baed03769f2402cede1d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $39.48
Realized PnL: $17.47K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.5K
Potential profit: $7.5K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.26K
Potential profit: $6.26K
User PnL: -$433.99

Yes position

Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $12.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.99K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$7.5

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.46K
Potential profit: $4.46K
User PnL: -$19.99

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.57K
Potential profit: $3.57K
User PnL: -$62

Yes position

Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.5K
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.32K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86K
Potential profit: $2.86K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.75K
Potential profit: $2.75K
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.39K
Potential profit: $2.39K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $7.98
Potential payout: $2.28K
Potential profit: $2.27K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$56.01

Yes position

Trump out as President by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $2.2K
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.12K
Potential profit: $2.12K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.08K
Potential profit: $2.08K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10AM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 9, 9PM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $962.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9PM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $943.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $764.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $749.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $673.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $661.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $629.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $584.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $575

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $539.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $516.24

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $497.74

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $485

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $464.7

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $450.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $438.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $435.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $412.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $398.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $388.97

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 18?

Yes 99.9% 135.89 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 19?

Yes 42% 78.57 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 19?

Yes 23% 143.48 shares
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 19?

Yes 21.6% 152.94 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 18?

Yes 46.6% 21.45 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 18?

Yes 60% 16.67 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 19?

Yes 48% 20.83 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 18?

Yes 4.6% 216.4 shares
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 18?

Yes 63% 15.87 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 18?

Yes 49.9% 20.06 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 18?

Yes 37% 27.03 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 18?

Yes 37% 27.03 shares