No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $336.37
- Potential payout
- $337.9
- Potential profit
- $1.52
- User PnL
- $6.4
Polymarket Trader
Satoshi..
0x564a61772f5fde1c3e0806e814a193983c2f8871
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.67K
- Realized PnL
- $491.33
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $211.2
- Potential payout
- $214.42
- Potential profit
- $3.22
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 36°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $168.26
- Potential payout
- $169.28
- Potential profit
- $1.02
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $105.85
- Potential payout
- $106.7
- Potential profit
- $0.85
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $102.56
- Potential payout
- $103.28
- Potential profit
- $0.72
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $91.44
- Potential payout
- $93.16
- Potential profit
- $1.72
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C or below on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $82.33
- Potential payout
- $83.59
- Potential profit
- $1.25
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $78.81
- Potential payout
- $79.24
- Potential profit
- $0.44
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C or below on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $67.53
- Potential payout
- $67.73
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $54.83
- Potential payout
- $55.55
- Potential profit
- $0.72
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $50.89
- Potential payout
- $51.51
- Potential profit
- $0.62
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $51.12
- Potential payout
- $51.51
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $46.2
- Potential payout
- $46.46
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C or below on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $46.11
- Potential payout
- $46.32
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or below on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $40.89
- Potential payout
- $41.16
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C or higher on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $29.61
- Potential payout
- $29.79
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $29.58
- Potential payout
- $29.68
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $27.08
- Potential payout
- $27.23
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $20.08
- Potential payout
- $20.2
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $20.08
- Potential payout
- $20.2
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $9.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1.91
- Potential payout
- $1.91
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.89
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.97
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.92
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.94
No position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.47
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or higher on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 66°F or higher on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.97
No position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.61
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 6°C or below on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.09
No position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.35
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.96
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.85
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.67
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.54
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.88
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.79
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 80°F or higher on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.87
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or higher on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on June 21?No 99% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on June 21?No 99% 46.46 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on June 20?No 98.7% 46.46 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 21?No 99% 51.51 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 21?No 99% 20.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on June 20?No 98.9% 55.55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C or below on June 19?No 98.4% 27.91 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C or below on June 20?No 99.9% 4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 20?No 98.7% 51.51 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 19?No 99.9% 23.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 36°C on June 19?No 98.9% 14.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or below on June 19?No 99.9% 1 shares