Polymarket Trader

Treehugger

0x564bf7df57aea9256c84c69a781c1542c2a21eef

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $51.46
Realized PnL: $24.07
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $367.98
Potential profit: $367.98
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $307.69
Potential profit: $301.69
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $230.17
Potential profit: $230.17
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $221.22
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Cape Verde reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $5.49
Potential payout: $203.2
Potential profit: $197.71
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: -$4.51

Yes position

Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $15.45
Potential payout: $103
Potential profit: $87.55
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$2.55

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $8.58
Potential payout: $100.96
Potential profit: $92.38
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$6.42

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $6.18
Potential payout: $87.72
Potential profit: $81.54
Multiplier: 14.20x
User PnL: $1.18

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $2.54
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $80.79
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Solana all time high before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will South Africa reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.25
Potential profit: $51.25
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $1.53
Potential payout: $44.44
Potential profit: $42.91
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$2.47

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.26
Potential profit: $32.26
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.53
Potential profit: $28.53
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $1.09
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $23.92
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.15
Potential profit: $23.15
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Solana reach $170 November 24-30?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.18
Potential profit: $20.18
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $15.87
Potential profit: $14.96
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.79
Potential profit: $15.79
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $1.77
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $13.62
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $13.36
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.6

Yes position

Will Brighton win on 2025-08-31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

Something position

Nothing Ever Happens: February

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55

Yes position

Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will D66 win 20 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

Yes position

Will Solana reach $250 in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

Yes position

Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.06

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-13?

Ends Sep 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-08-31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

D66 position

Netherlands Parliamentary Election: D66 vs VVD

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will Rabby launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.4% 41.67 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 76.92 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 76.92 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.4% 41.67 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 28% 7.14 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.3% 15.87 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.7% 87.72 shares
Will Croatia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9% 11.11 shares
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 29% 6.9 shares
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 13% 15.38 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 4% 25 shares
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 29% 10.34 shares