Polymarket Trader

honk75

0x5651f0e01b52367ef76f5c18460c8e21f4a766a6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.62K
Realized PnL: $4.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $659.42
Potential payout: $4.55K
Potential profit: $3.89K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$91.56

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $89.2
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $710.8
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$10.8

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.8%
Current value: $122.06
Potential payout: $588.24
Potential profit: $466.18
Multiplier: 4.82x
User PnL: $22.06

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $6.73
Potential payout: $538.46
Potential profit: $531.73
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.27

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $333.25
Potential payout: $490.43
Potential profit: $157.18
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: -$25.43

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $106.23
Potential payout: $462.88
Potential profit: $356.65
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $6.23

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $11.14
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $443.41
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $1.14

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $29.85
Potential payout: $291.26
Potential profit: $261.41
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $101.47
Potential payout: $173.46
Potential profit: $71.99
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$8.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.05
Potential profit: $119.05
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $18.61
Potential payout: $109.44
Potential profit: $90.84
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$1.39

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.6
Potential profit: $108.6
User PnL: -$101

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94.71
Potential profit: $94.71
User PnL: -$85

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Solana dip to $80 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.38
Potential profit: $85.38
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $72.56
Potential payout: $74.46
Potential profit: $1.9
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $7.78

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.9
Potential profit: $67.9
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.23
Potential profit: $66.23
User PnL: -$51

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.52
Potential profit: $64.52
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $55.2
Potential payout: $60.33
Potential profit: $5.13
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $4.72

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.47
Potential profit: $57.47
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51
Potential profit: $51
User PnL: -$29.07

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $17.77
Potential payout: $46.15
Potential profit: $28.38
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$12.23

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.29
Potential profit: $39.29
User PnL: -$33

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Gold close at $2,600-2,700 at the end of 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $465.8

Yes position

Will Solana reach $250 in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $270.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18?

Ends Sep 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $262.84

No position

Will Solana dip to $190 in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $235.27

No position

Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $233.1

No position

Will another country strike Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226.18

No position

Will Solana dip to $70 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.9

No position

Will Solana dip to $110 in December?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.99

No position

Will Solana dip to $60 June 1-7?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12PM ET

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.46

No position

Will Solana dip to $100 in December?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.75

No position

Will Solana dip to $70 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.69

No position

Will Solana dip to $60 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $168.14

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.06

Yes position

Israel military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.58

Yes position

Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.49

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.48

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $120 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.42

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.36

No position

Will Solana dip to $60 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.14

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 5?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.77

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: September

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.32

Yes position

Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.04

No position

Will Kanye launch a coin in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.74

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

No 63.9% 21.41 shares
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?

Yes 39% 18.51 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?

No 94.2% 31.85 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

No 71.8% 418 shares
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?

No 95.7% 306.21 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 94.4% 10.92 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 96.3% 42.14 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 29?

No 87% 74.46 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 58% 17.24 shares
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?

Yes 27% 18.52 shares
Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.3% 109.44 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.2% 454.55 shares