Polymarket Trader

monkeyoffmeback

0x5678a44d43bf78849053bf598e67cafd6c57e468

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $671.92
Realized PnL: $753.92
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $297.5
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $402.5
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$52.5

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $685.33
Potential profit: $685.33
User PnL: -$610

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $498.56
Potential profit: $498.56
User PnL: -$400

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400.73
Potential profit: $400.73
User PnL: -$272.02

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $97.06
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $20.59
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$2.94

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $102.86
Potential payout: $102.86
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $12.86

Yes position

Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$10.5

Yes position

Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $70
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $52.5

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $60
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $10.2

No position

Will Trump say "Eight War" or "Eighth War" while addressing the nation on December 17?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: -$10

Dvalishvili position

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.77
Potential profit: $33.77
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$16.2

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $30
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$5.75

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $14.49
Potential payout: $16.47
Potential profit: $1.98
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.18

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.3

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.14

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $54.89

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.62

Shevchenko position

UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.43

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 61.8%
Multiplier: 1.62x
User PnL: $28.57

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.67

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.05

No position

Starmer out by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.49

Yes position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $24

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (HIGH) in March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.64

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $17.76

No position

Trump x Greenland deal signed by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.99

No position

Maduro out by November 30, 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.58

Finland position

Men's Group B - Finland vs. Italy

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.1

No position

Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.38

No position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.92

No position

Will Trump pardon Maduro by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.85

No position

Will Germany strike Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" while addressing the nation on December 17?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.76

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.62

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 83% 60 shares
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?

Yes 25% 70 shares
Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?

Yes 15% 70 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 54% 30 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 75% 30 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?

No 85% 16.47 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Yes 85% 117.65 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 64% 50 shares
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 48% 10 shares
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

Yes 23% 25 shares
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 59% 200 shares
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 60% 200 shares