Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
Zero10
0x568832b31a1069f58502d34708c21f89141d9f32
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.26K
- Realized PnL
- $978.3
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $899
- Potential payout
- $1.62K
- Potential profit
- $720.82
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$179.65
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $763.64
- Potential profit
- $763.64
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $755.5
- Potential profit
- $755.5
- User PnL
- -$83.1
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $39.34
- Potential payout
- $715.29
- Potential profit
- $675.95
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$72.59
Yes position
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $24.27
- Potential payout
- $674.15
- Potential profit
- $649.88
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- -$225.73
Yes position
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $515.15
- Potential profit
- $515.15
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $373.05
- Potential profit
- $373.05
- User PnL
- -$35
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $338.98
- Potential profit
- $338.98
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $305.56
- Potential profit
- $305.56
- User PnL
- -$35
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $232.18
- Potential payout
- $259.42
- Potential profit
- $27.24
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$3.89
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $257.54
- Potential profit
- $257.54
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.78
- Potential profit
- $222.78
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $14.17
- Potential payout
- $217.99
- Potential profit
- $203.82
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$105.83
No position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $205.67
- Potential profit
- $205.67
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
NATO dissolves before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $8.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $191.7
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$11.7
Yes position
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $8.06
- Potential payout
- $146.48
- Potential profit
- $138.42
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$8.22
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $117.65
- Potential profit
- $117.65
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $12.89
- Potential payout
- $105.26
- Potential profit
- $92.37
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- -$7.11
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.9%
- Current value
- $10.82
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $80.09
- Multiplier
- 8.40x
- User PnL
- $0.82
Down position
XRP Up or Down - January 6, 1PM ET
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.3%
- Current value
- $14.03
- Potential payout
- $68.97
- Potential profit
- $54.94
- Multiplier
- 4.92x
- User PnL
- -$5.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $253.16
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.75
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $120
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.99
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.91
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.25
Yes position
US civil war before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.15
Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.9
Down position
XRP Up or Down - January 8, 11PM ET
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.08
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.97
Yes position
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.23
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.95
Up position
Solana Up or Down - January 8, 11AM ET
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.38
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $11.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 12AM ET
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.9
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $10.83
No position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.48
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.18
No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.46
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.65
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.39
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.01
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- $6.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 56% 42.86 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 56% 178.57 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 56% 178.57 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 57% 135.09 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 63% 158.73 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 61% 100 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 61% 100 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 34% 117.65 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 75% 133.33 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 15.2% 658.48 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 35% 76.21 shares
- US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 27% 185.19 shares