Polymarket Trader

Spyder.sh

@thedevkansal

0x5696cbb3b9e558fa6b37a8d7addfaed0236fd168

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $187.93
Realized PnL: $89.82
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $134.72
Potential payout: $182.06
Potential profit: $47.34
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $27.31

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.1%
Current value: $6.29
Potential payout: $56.91
Potential profit: $50.62
Multiplier: 9.05x
User PnL: -$1.62

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $11.93
Potential payout: $52
Potential profit: $40.07
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $2.26

Yes position

Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 1 Canada?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $34.98
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $28.33

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $37.01

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $16.53

Rajasthan Royals position

Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.78

Royal Challengers Bangalore position

Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.34

Mumbai Indians position

Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66

Yes position

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

Yes position

Will Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2026 Indian Premier League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Gujarat Titans position

Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will Gujarat Titans win the 2026 Indian Premier League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 1 Canada?

Yes 19% 35 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.9% 56.91 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.6% 52 shares
Will Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2026 Indian Premier League?

Yes 99.8% 2 shares
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals

Gujarat Titans 99.9% 1.66 shares
Will Rajasthan Royals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?

Yes 0.9% 109.2 shares
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals

Gujarat Titans 60% 1.67 shares
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals

Rajasthan Royals 41% 10 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 78.7% 80.68 shares
Will Rajasthan Royals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?

Yes 12.6% 102.69 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 57% 87.72 shares
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 59% 182.06 shares