Y
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $3.33
- Potential payout
- $3.4
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.33
Polymarket Trader
0x56CB5427A0a49399618c4978507D8D5f710E2645-1773647629589
0x56cb5427a0a49399618c4978507d8d5f710e2645
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.94
- Realized PnL
- $4.17
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.65
- Potential profit
- $2.65
- User PnL
- -$1.8
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.62
- Potential payout
- $2.62
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Y
Yes position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?Yes 58.9% 3.4 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?No 96.9% 5.64 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 96.3% 2.62 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 68% 2.65 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?Yes 99.4% 1.01 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No 57% 3.51 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 98.5% 1.58 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No 73% 1.78 shares
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 56% 3.75 shares
- Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?Yes 94% 5.56 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 97.7% 1.13 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No 96.8% 4.27 shares