Yes position
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $567.38
- Potential payout
- $630.42
- Potential profit
- $63.04
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $87.38
Polymarket Trader
Economista
0x56e26857608289b4d2e8b5e479ade573f36f269b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.12K
- Realized PnL
- $690.44
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $327.75
- Potential payout
- $570
- Potential profit
- $242.25
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $99.75
Yes position
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?
Ends Jan 12, 2027- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $125.04
- Potential payout
- $416.81
- Potential profit
- $291.76
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $94.02
- Potential payout
- $218.65
- Potential profit
- $124.63
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $167.18
- Potential profit
- $167.18
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $5.97
- Potential payout
- $165.72
- Potential profit
- $159.76
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- -$94.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.66
Lakers position
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.86
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.97
Yes position
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.05
Yes position
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.50% and 3.99%?
Ends Jan 12, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $57.12
No position
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.35
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.29
Yes position
Will Brazil’s Q4 2025 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 1.6% and 1.9%?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.79
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.55
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.53
No position
Will Brazil’s Q4 2025 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 1.2% and 1.5%?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.93
Yes position
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.9
Yes position
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.37
No position
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.82
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.79
Yes position
Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.71
No position
US strike on Syria by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69
Yes position
Will the U.K.'s annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in December?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
No position
Will Jonathan Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.21
No position
Will Brazil’s Q4 2025 GDP growth rate (YoY) be less than 0.4%?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76
No position
Will Brazil’s Q4 2025 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 0.8% and 1.1%?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
Yes position
Will the U.K.'s monthly inflation be ≥0.3% in December?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.84
No position
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.33
Yes position
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- ECB rate hike in 2026?No 0.1% 169.4 shares
- Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?Yes 78.1% 128.09 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 79% 348.06 shares
- Will Benoni Mendes win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Yes 1.5% 88.81 shares
- Will Benoni Mendes win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Yes 5.6% 88.81 shares
- Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?No 44% 11.5 shares
- Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?Yes 75% 40 shares
- Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?Yes 74.5% 67.15 shares
- Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?Yes 70.9% 70.49 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 45% 190 shares
- Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?Yes 70.8% 70.66 shares
- Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 2.1% 0.51 shares