Polymarket Trader

bartholomew31

0x56e3d9a06d455e0eac8a60a639451ad3252281cc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.78K
Realized PnL: $32.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $4.95K
Potential payout: $5.17K
Potential profit: $214.52
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $618.48

Yes position

Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $2.1K
User PnL: -$1.7K

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $954
Potential payout: $1.89K
Potential profit: $935.1
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$330.59

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $1.61K
Potential payout: $1.63K
Potential profit: $21.18
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $200.99

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $128.38
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.22K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$371.62

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $7.25
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $1.31K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$500.05

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $1.13K
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $57.98
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $101.46

Yes position

Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $994.59
Potential profit: $994.59
User PnL: -$681.74

Yes position

Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $961
Potential profit: $961
User PnL: -$429.17

Yes position

Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $514.31
Potential profit: $514.31
User PnL: -$370.62

Yes position

Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500.75
Potential profit: $500.75
User PnL: -$315.47

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.42K

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.16K

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13K

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.09K

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.87K

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.5K

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48K

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37K

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.31K

Yes position

Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

Yes position

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $976.31

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $970.6

Yes position

Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $899.05

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $894

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $856.32

Yes position

Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $851.4

No position

Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $730.2

Yes position

Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $590.66

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $518.26

Yes position

Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $386.19

Yes position

Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $382.24

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $372.29

No position

Will Carlos Álvarez finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $320.32

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $286.68

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 23.9% 1,232.51 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 91% 1,327.48 shares
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 85.2% 151.1 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Knicks 92% 500 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Knicks 69% 500 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 38.6% 3,337.51 shares
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 86% 35 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 38.3% 2,632.71 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 82.8% 559.17 shares
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 86.7% 997.12 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 79.5% 129.73 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 79.1% 469.16 shares