No position
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $145.59
- Potential payout
- $159.99
- Potential profit
- $14.4
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $20.4
Polymarket Trader
Alta-trola
0x56e3de5d4e06fea0c19f4029cdbda6959bbc521c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $437.83
- Realized PnL
- $879.04
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will EUR/USD hit 1.40 (High) in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $142.66
- Potential payout
- $151.77
- Potential profit
- $9.11
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $11.48
Yes position
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $12.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $87.5
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
No position
Will EUR/USD hit 1.35 (High) in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $88.35
- Potential payout
- $95
- Potential profit
- $6.65
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $12.7
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $48.73
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $1.27
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.73
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$11.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.6
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.98
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.65
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.05
No position
U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.39
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.67
No position
Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.15
Yes position
Will RB Leipzig finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.45
No position
Will Israel strike Syria on July 17?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.7
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.41
Yes position
Will Marc-André ter Stegen sign with a new club during the winter transfer window?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.23
No position
Will Germany recognize Palestine in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.31
Yes position
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.3
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.93
No position
Iran strike on US military by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.7
Yes position
Will Timo Werner sign with a new club during the winter transfer window?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.93
No position
Will Federico Chiesa sign with a new club during the winter transfer window?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.08
No position
Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.49
No position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.13
No position
Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.1
No position
Will Israel strike Syria on July 23?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.81
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.35
Yes position
10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday?
Ends Jul 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.16
No position
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Lionel Messi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 12% 29.99 shares
- Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?Yes 16% 20 shares
- Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?Yes 18% 10 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?Yes 16% 10 shares
- Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?Yes 44% 10 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 19% 30 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?Yes 54% 20.37 shares
- Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?Yes 24% 8 shares
- Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?Yes 58% 10 shares
- Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?Yes 45% 6 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Yes 70% 10 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?Yes 21% 30 shares