Polymarket Trader

CrewBear

0x56e52096d6d0504cf520a0cd0f976544be2f02f0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $380.96
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83K
Potential profit: $20.83K
User PnL: -$104.98

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.26K
Potential profit: $12.26K
User PnL: -$44.99

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.16K
Potential profit: $9.16K
User PnL: -$89.99

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33K
Potential profit: $8.33K
User PnL: -$19.99

Yes position

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.12K
Potential profit: $7.12K
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.72K
Potential profit: $3.72K
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.42K
Potential profit: $3.42K
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.16K
Potential profit: $3.16K
User PnL: -$60

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.89K
Potential profit: $2.89K
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.78K
Potential profit: $2.78K
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.91K
Potential profit: $1.91K
User PnL: -$125

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $7.16
Potential payout: $1.59K
Potential profit: $1.58K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$42.84

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $17.84
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.53K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$30.72

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $12.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $987.5
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $151.95
Potential payout: $533.33
Potential profit: $381.39
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $71.95

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $33.24
Potential payout: $531.91
Potential profit: $498.67
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: -$16.75

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $11.41
Potential payout: $485.69
Potential profit: $474.28
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$38.59

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 26.1%
Current value: $90
Potential payout: $344.83
Potential profit: $254.83
Multiplier: 3.83x
User PnL: $70

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $5.94
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $271.83
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$44.06

Yes position

Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192.36
Potential profit: $192.36
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $135.36
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $43.42
Potential payout: $112.78
Potential profit: $69.36
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $23.42

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.93
Potential profit: $77.93
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

No 1.4% 1,428.57 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.9% 3,333.33 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.4% 7,500 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 17.7% 112.78 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 5.8% 344.83 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 2% 1,000 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 7% 142.86 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

No 15% 533.33 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

No 6% 833.33 shares
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?

Yes 26% 192.36 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

No 8% 625 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

No 2.5% 1,004 shares