Polymarket Trader

Set-tembrinii

0x56e8a16d6cdc6b50cf355d9d5f04bf1b8456a409

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.48K
Realized PnL: $1.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $70.01
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $2.15K
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: $30

No position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.09K
Potential profit: $2.09K
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $673.32
Potential payout: $885.95
Potential profit: $212.63
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $132.89

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $736.14
Potential payout: $860.99
Potential profit: $124.84
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $81.79

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $774.53

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $339.02

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $207.38

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.41

No position

U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: $57.54

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.4

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Multiplier: 39.22x
User PnL: $36

No position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.8

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $23.53

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-12? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

3.2% 625 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

No 99.8% 768.61 shares
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Yes 61% 163.93 shares
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?

No 94% 54.04 shares
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

No 11.8% 844.11 shares
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?

No 94% 106.66 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

No 80% 242.09 shares
Will Trump visit China by March 31?

No 98.2% 518.35 shares
Will Trump visit China by March 31?

No 32.8% 518.36 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

No 76% 526.53 shares
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?

No 90% 444.44 shares
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?

Yes 99.8% 846.22 shares