Yes position
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $57.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $442.5
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $7.5
Polymarket Trader
HowlingPup
0x570bae01cd9dee8ac803c214a877c2a63ab297f8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $482.55
- Realized PnL
- $2.04K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $322
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $78
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $34
Yes position
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $7.4
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $392.6
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$183
No position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.4%
- Current value
- $95.65
- Potential payout
- $158.5
- Potential profit
- $62.85
- Multiplier
- 1.66x
- User PnL
- $0.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.06
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.6
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140
No position
Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?
Ends Jul 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.26
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
No position
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.5
Yes position
US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80
No position
U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $77.88
No position
350k+ Tesla deliveries in Q1 2025?
Ends Apr 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.99
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.2
Knicks position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?
Ends Jun 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62
No position
Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.25
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.4
Yes position
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next Prime Minister of France?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.96
Yes position
Another France debt downgrade by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.8
No position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.93
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: France Edition
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 71% 400 shares
- Spurs vs. KnicksKnicks 36% 100 shares
- Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?Yes 90.7% 500 shares
- Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?Yes 90.8% 500 shares
- Will Nithya Raman finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 60% 6.66 shares
- Will Nithya Raman finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 60% 6.19 shares
- Will Oklahoma City Thunder vs. New York Knicks be the 2026 NBA Finals matchup?Yes 10% 299.99 shares
- Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 10% 500 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 37% 400 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 38% 400 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?No 35% 300 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 71% 200 shares