Yes position
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $252.55
- Potential profit
- $252.55
- User PnL
- -$41.69
Polymarket Trader
OdinRaven
@Odin_s_Raven
0x5711d1e631e76dd09054d3d733e2bcd480645853
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $313.03
- Realized PnL
- $198.9
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $27.36
- Potential payout
- $228
- Potential profit
- $200.64
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- $27.36
Yes position
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $180
- User PnL
- -$149.79
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $50.15
- Potential payout
- $170
- Potential profit
- $119.85
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $50.15
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $167
- Potential profit
- $167
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133
- Potential profit
- $133
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $117
- Potential profit
- $117
- User PnL
- -$100.62
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $43.21
- Potential payout
- $115.22
- Potential profit
- $72.01
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $43.21
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $69.93
- Potential payout
- $111
- Potential profit
- $41.07
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $69.93
Yes position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $95.36
- Potential payout
- $98.87
- Potential profit
- $3.51
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $95.36
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $3.04
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $73.88
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$6.96
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.23
- Potential profit
- $62.23
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$24.4
No position
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.07
- Potential profit
- $37.07
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $2.34
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $28.91
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$7.66
No position
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.79
- Potential profit
- $24.79
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.62
- Potential profit
- $23.62
- User PnL
- -$4.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.14
- Potential profit
- $20.14
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $11.13
- Potential payout
- $13.33
- Potential profit
- $2.2
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $1.13
No position
Will Trump say "Steve" or "Witkoff" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.71
- Potential profit
- $12.71
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $10.51
- Potential payout
- $11.36
- Potential profit
- $0.85
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the NYT front page headlines say "Putin" this week?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.19
- Potential profit
- $8.19
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.2
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.7
No position
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.66
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.83
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.94
No position
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 14, 2026?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.43
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.68
No position
ChatGPT Outage by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.69
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.6
No position
Will Steven Tisch be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $9.1
No position
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 19, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.55
No position
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.26
Yes position
James Comey arrested by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.05
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.75
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 2?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.84
No position
Will the number of Israel Rocket Alerts since Operation Lion's Roar be at least 20,000 by March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: March
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
No position
Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77
No position
Services Down Parlay
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
No position
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Bitcoin" this week?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96
No position
Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 20?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 27% 133 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 20.7% 40 shares
- Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 11% 56.1 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 92.4% 30 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Yes 74% 5 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes 64% 55 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 96.4% 75 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026?Yes 94.2% 24 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026?Yes 90.1% 17.88 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026?No 86% 8.06 shares
- Will Ali Larijani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No 93.2% 7.28 shares
- Will Ali Larijani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No 94% 4.99 shares