Polymarket Trader

guillemrugar

0x572287c59d6b1f0b9b375e9e8a2ac5b060c5c03c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $49.68
Realized PnL: $85.27
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $7.93
Potential payout: $11.09
Potential profit: $3.16
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.75
Potential profit: $10.75
User PnL: -$2.8

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.4
Potential profit: $8.4
User PnL: -$5.38

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $1.91
Potential payout: $7.21
Potential profit: $5.3
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $0.04

Under position

Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $2.01
Potential payout: $7.05
Potential profit: $5.04
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $3.08
Potential payout: $5.7
Potential profit: $2.62
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $2.78
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.23
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$0.03

Norway position

Spread: Norway (-1.5)

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.83
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$0.03

Over position

France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $3.33
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.67
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $2.28
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.73
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82.7%
Current value: $4.13
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.87
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $2.86

Over position

England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $2.48
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.53
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$0.02

France position

Spread: France (-1.5)

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $2.68
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.33
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $2.82
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.18
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $3.98
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.03
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $0.18

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Spurs

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.2

No position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $2.73
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.28
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $3.67
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.32
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $2.72
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.27
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $1.52

No position

Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.85

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.64
Potential profit: $1.64
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Roman Safiullin position

Oeiras 4: Henrique Rocha vs Roman Safiullin

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.65

Under position

Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.87

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.75

BetBoom Team position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.65

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.58

Over position

Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.55

Chicago Sky position

Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.01

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.88

No position

Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.49

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.37

Brazil position

Spread: Brazil (-1.5)

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.11

San Francisco Giants position

San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.1

BetBoom Team position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.96

BetBoom Team position

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.68

Yes position

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.36

Over position

Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.3

Ronaldo Team position

LoL: Ronaldo Team vs Bubliki (BO5) - LPLOL Playoffs

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.19

No position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Aurora Gaming position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $1.82

Washington Nationals position

Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79

Milwaukee Brewers position

Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.75

Yes position

Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

No 46% 5 shares
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5

Under 54% 5 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

No 56% 5 shares
Spread: Germany (-1.5)

Germany 39% 5 shares
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

Yes 20% 18 shares
Spread: France (-1.5)

France 56% 5 shares
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?

No 60% 5.72 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 27% 5.01 shares
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5

Under 64% 7.32 shares
France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

Over 66% 5 shares
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5

Over 50% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

No 54% 5 shares