No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $52.9
- Potential payout
- $54.79
- Potential profit
- $1.89
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.54
Polymarket Trader
0x572c...4360
0x572cf414b8f9cd696ccc69a76957d4695b7b4360
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $157.92
- Realized PnL
- $121.81
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $28.7
- Potential payout
- $35.22
- Potential profit
- $6.52
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $18.56
No position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $18.15
- Potential payout
- $22.97
- Potential profit
- $4.82
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $12.09
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $14.49
- Potential payout
- $14.83
- Potential profit
- $0.34
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.66
- Potential payout
- $10.2
- Potential profit
- $9.54
- Multiplier
- 15.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $7.89
- Potential payout
- $8.05
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $6.57
- Potential payout
- $6.85
- Potential profit
- $0.29
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $6.42
- Potential payout
- $6.68
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.38
No position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.8%
- Current value
- $3.09
- Potential payout
- $3.78
- Potential profit
- $0.69
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $3.01
- Potential payout
- $3.4
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.08
- Potential profit
- $3.07
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.6%
- Current value
- $1.6
- Potential payout
- $2.73
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $2.01
- Potential payout
- $2.27
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $2.03
- Potential payout
- $2.13
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $2.05
- Potential payout
- $2.06
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.03
N
No position
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
Ends Jul 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $0.74
- Potential payout
- $1.98
- Potential profit
- $1.24
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $0.31
- Potential payout
- $1.8
- Potential profit
- $1.5
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?
Ends Aug 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $1.07
- Potential payout
- $1.58
- Potential profit
- $0.51
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.1
- Potential payout
- $1.26
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $1.13
- Potential payout
- $1.22
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $1.22
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $1.2
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Databricks IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $1.15
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $1.13
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.06
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.03
Yes position
Prince Andrew released by February 19?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.6
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.82
N
No position
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.07
No position
Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.39
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.19
No position
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.12
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.83
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.57
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.31
Yes position
Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 7+ times at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.02
Yes position
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.95
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.84
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
No position
Will France strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32
No position
Will Trump say "Kamala" in Corpus Christi on Friday?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?No 95.2% 1.06 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?No 95.3% 1.06 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?No 94.9% 1.06 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?No 94.3% 1.43 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?No 93% 2.67 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?No 93.2% 1.48 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?No 93.9% 1.08 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?No 92.2% 1.1 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?No 93.5% 1.08 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?No 93.5% 1.08 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?No 94.4% 1.07 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?No 94.6% 1.07 shares