No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.5
Polymarket Trader
0x5735615013377Ad4918ba490b35d13fe1c60053B-1772517661797
0x5735615013377ad4918ba490b35d13fe1c60053b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.35
- Realized PnL
- $4.21
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $3.09
- Potential payout
- $4.04
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $1.7
- Potential payout
- $2.86
- Potential profit
- $1.16
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.59
- Potential profit
- $2.59
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.29
- Potential payout
- $2.29
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.27
- Potential payout
- $1.27
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 52% 4.04 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 94.8% 5.49 shares
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 56% 2.86 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No 92% 1.41 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes 54% 2.59 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 95% 1.27 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 70% 5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No 83.2% 4.77 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No 83.7% 4.78 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes 99% 1.52 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes 59.8% 5.92 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 66% 4.85 shares