No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $65.8
- Potential payout
- $131.6K
- Potential profit
- $131.53K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$53.89K
Polymarket Trader
hopedieslast
0x5739ddf8672627ce076eff5f444610a250075f1a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $186.02K
- Realized PnL
- $651.37K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $64.66
- Potential payout
- $129.33K
- Potential profit
- $129.26K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$987.15
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $52.02K
- Potential payout
- $114.34K
- Potential profit
- $62.31K
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$23.61K
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $13.46K
- Potential payout
- $112.2K
- Potential profit
- $98.74K
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$25.4K
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.47K
- Potential profit
- $102.47K
- User PnL
- -$12.3K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $47.9
- Potential payout
- $95.8K
- Potential profit
- $95.75K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$23.84K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Current value
- $3.99K
- Potential payout
- $90.73K
- Potential profit
- $86.74K
- Multiplier
- 22.73x
- User PnL
- -$19.53K
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75.51K
- Potential profit
- $75.51K
- User PnL
- -$32.53K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $104.67
- Potential payout
- $69.78K
- Potential profit
- $69.68K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$60.77K
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.72K
- Potential profit
- $54.72K
- User PnL
- -$7.55K
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $472.41
- Potential payout
- $52.49K
- Potential profit
- $52.02K
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$2.22K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $6.16K
- Potential payout
- $49.29K
- Potential profit
- $43.13K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.21K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $25.74K
- Potential payout
- $46.79K
- Potential profit
- $21.06K
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- -$2.63K
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $11.23K
- Potential payout
- $36.22K
- Potential profit
- $24.99K
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- -$6.44K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $32.27K
- Potential payout
- $35.26K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $2.88K
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.3K
- Potential profit
- $34.3K
- User PnL
- -$13.2K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $14.47
- Potential payout
- $28.93K
- Potential profit
- $28.92K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.82K
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $24.17K
- Potential payout
- $28.78K
- Potential profit
- $4.6K
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $5.76K
Yes position
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $1.38K
- Potential payout
- $28.15K
- Potential profit
- $26.77K
- Multiplier
- 20.41x
- User PnL
- -$14.52K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $2.58K
- Potential payout
- $27.17K
- Potential profit
- $24.59K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $407.6
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $11.67K
- Potential payout
- $26.23K
- Potential profit
- $14.56K
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $1.92K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $12.66
- Potential payout
- $25.31K
- Potential profit
- $25.3K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.35K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $11.84
- Potential payout
- $23.67K
- Potential profit
- $23.66K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$11.61K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $542.72
- Potential payout
- $23.09K
- Potential profit
- $22.55K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$5.51K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $72.84K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.82K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.06K
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.31K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.43K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $38.14K
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.95K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.05K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.8K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.16K
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.04K
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $19.08K
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.01K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.56K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.72K
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.66K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.4K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.61K
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.9K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.74K
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.51K
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.32K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.25K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 0.8% 129,197.1 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 95% 5,000 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 88.3% 10,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 98.5% 10,000 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 79.5% 12,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 98.6% 9,393.81 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 79.7% 900 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 49% 0.2 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 76% 2,000 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 72% 1,000 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 70% 95.61 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?No 87.4% 1,000 shares