Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.98K
- Potential profit
- $13.98K
- User PnL
- -$97.89
Polymarket Trader
3xtzh
0x57522caebb6d3ecf8be8af6e836186f872e947f5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.47K
- Realized PnL
- $410.73
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on November 13?
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.51K
- Potential profit
- $4.51K
- User PnL
- -$80.86
No position
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $909.5
- Potential payout
- $914.07
- Potential profit
- $4.57
- User PnL
- $451.09
No position
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $194.95
- Potential payout
- $487.38
- Potential profit
- $292.43
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- $52.35
Yes position
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $191.67
- Potential payout
- $327.64
- Potential profit
- $135.97
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $95.97
No position
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $175.27
- Potential payout
- $240.1
- Potential profit
- $64.83
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $118.85
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133.52
- Potential profit
- $133.52
- User PnL
- -$33.38
Yes position
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.2
- Potential profit
- $52.2
- User PnL
- -$1.67
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $364.68
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.52
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $6.6
No position
Megaquake by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.44
No position
Megaquake by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.7% 13,983.64 shares
- Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Yes 39% 263 shares
- Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?No 58% 636.6 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 75.9% 200 shares
- Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?No 29.8% 80.32 shares
- Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?No 57.9% 77.37 shares
- Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Yes 29.2% 250 shares
- Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Yes 29.2% 340.64 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 72.6% 200 shares
- Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?No 41.8% 186.96 shares
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Yes 3.2% 52.2 shares
- Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?No 85% 16.98 shares