Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $4.11K
- Potential payout
- $19.1K
- Potential profit
- $14.99K
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$3.28K
Polymarket Trader
0xA18e249Fd4c3071a580b1ADf44B345aEa805f9C9-1772330171906
0x577ea7fbfa33ea4cff794b92502eedbcc19f2ea0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.11K
- Realized PnL
- $653.9
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $7K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $197.37
- Potential profit
- $197.37
- User PnL
- -$75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $788.57
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $476.34
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $39.01
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$222.22
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$427.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 38.7% 19,095.22 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes 20% 860.97 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 10% 2,777.77 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 88% 882.2 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 28% 3,710.75 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 42% 12,186.1 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?Yes 38% 197.37 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 34% 882.2 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes 69.7% 860.97 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 36% 9,316.67 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 26.9% 3,710.76 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 18% 2,777.78 shares