Yes position
Will Iran strike one country in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $969.26
- Potential profit
- $969.26
- User PnL
- -$3
Polymarket Trader
0x578403f68549876E60B5F663635733E766123823-1772130035655
0x578403f68549876e60b5f663635733e766123823
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $37.89
- Realized PnL
- $150.52
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $498.77
- Potential profit
- $498.77
- User PnL
- -$75
Yes position
Will Iran strike three countries in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150.24
- Potential profit
- $150.24
- User PnL
- -$3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $121.09
- Potential profit
- $121.09
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $14.5
- Potential payout
- $115.56
- Potential profit
- $101.06
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- -$5.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $2.84
- Potential payout
- $107.36
- Potential profit
- $104.51
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$1.72
Yes position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$3
N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-13 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $97.5
- Multiplier
- 40.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $2.6
- Potential payout
- $94.56
- Potential profit
- $91.96
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $5.15
- Potential payout
- $94.41
- Potential profit
- $89.27
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- $1.94
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $83.53
- Potential profit
- $83.49
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.96
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the CA-15 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $2.49
- Potential payout
- $68.18
- Potential profit
- $65.69
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.31
- Potential profit
- $64.31
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $1.24
- Potential payout
- $52.88
- Potential profit
- $51.64
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$3.76
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.66
- Potential profit
- $43.66
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $2.33
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $41.15
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Yes position
Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $1.37
- Potential payout
- $37.05
- Potential profit
- $35.67
- Multiplier
- 27.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
Yes position
Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $2.83
- Potential payout
- $25.71
- Potential profit
- $22.89
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$6.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.52
- Potential profit
- $20.52
- User PnL
- -$4.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.94
- Potential profit
- $19.94
- User PnL
- -$2.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.93
- Potential profit
- $18.93
- User PnL
- -$9.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.33
- Potential profit
- $18.33
- User PnL
- -$2.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.68
- Potential profit
- $17.68
- User PnL
- -$4.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $21.08
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.11
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.96
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.94
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.05
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.82
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.51
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.34
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.87
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.46
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.18
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.08
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.42
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Sabrina Carpenter be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?Yes 17.2% 115.56 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the CA-15 House seat?Yes 4.4% 68.18 shares
- Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?Yes 9.5% 52.88 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the NY-13 House seat?No 5% 100 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 12% 73.52 shares
- Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Yes 52.2% 50 shares
- Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Yes 10% 50 shares
- Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027?Yes 35% 25.71 shares
- Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?No 68.4% 17.85 shares
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 3% 100 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Yes 15.6% 37.5 shares
- Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?Yes 4.2% 107.36 shares