No position
ChatGPT Outage by April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $21
- User PnL
- -$20.37
Polymarket Trader
Margotd22
0x57a330c653c1aaf3b505e8120f741d7dc3ccf6c6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $13.95
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 75 and 76 million views on day 5?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $18
- User PnL
- -$17.64
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $16
- User PnL
- -$15.52
No position
Will turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be below 65%?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get less than 30 million views on day 1?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on February 19?
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -6°C on February 24?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will Post Malone perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will the US add between 75k and 100k jobs in February?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will "His & Hers" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (February 10)
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on February 12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Biagio Simonetti win the 2026 Ottaviano mayoral election?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Will "Hoppers" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 26m and 29m?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 13m?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Trump say "Asshole" in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 69 and 70 million views on day 5?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will Chris Dudley win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on February 25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will Cliff Johnson be the Democratic Nominee for MS-01?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 9?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will anyone say "Pink" 10+ times during 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?No 99% 20 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 4?Yes 99.9% 32 shares
- Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?No 99.7% 24 shares
- Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?No 99.8% 24 shares
- Will Trump be impeached by June 30?No 99.9% 17 shares
- Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be at least 450k?Yes 99.9% 15 shares
- Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be at least 450k?Yes 98% 15 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 16?No 99.9% 35 shares
- Will PPI YoY be between 4.0% and 4.9% in May?No 99.9% 20 shares
- Will PPI YoY be between 4.0% and 4.9% in May?No 98.9% 20 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 9?No 99% 15 shares
- Will Biagio Simonetti win the 2026 Ottaviano mayoral election?No 99.9% 17.01 shares