Polymarket Trader

KarenHawkins8687

0x57ab144fae9e0076d7a76be89015ff28125a434b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.78K
Realized PnL: $5.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Michigan State Spartans position

Michigan State Spartans vs. Temple Owls

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $1.52K
Potential payout: $3.05K
Potential profit: $1.52K
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $798.76

No position

Will "Oscar" or "Oscars" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$1.03K

Ceará SC position

Spread: Ceará SC (-2.5)

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $424
Potential payout: $848
Potential profit: $424
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $0

Milwaukee Admirals position

AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Grand Rapids Griffins

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $750
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $464.25

Yes position

Will MrBeast's latest video get between 75 and 76 million views on day 6?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $747
Potential profit: $747
User PnL: -$283.86

India Tigers position

Legends Cricket League: Southern Super Stars vs India Tigers

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $322.25
Potential payout: $693
Potential profit: $370.76
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$252.94

No position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 28 be less than 2,000,000?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $632
Potential profit: $632
User PnL: -$189.6

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer say "Epstein" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $608
Potential profit: $608
User PnL: -$419.52

Under position

Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $586
Potential profit: $586
User PnL: -$202.52

Down position

XRP Up or Down - February 16, 1AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $551
Potential profit: $551
User PnL: -$275.5

No position

Will Seoul have between 55-60mm of precipitation in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $541
Potential payout: $541
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $59.51

No position

Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $517
Potential payout: $517
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.52

No position

Will Liz Patrick - SNL50: The Anniversary Special win Best Director of Variety at the 78th DGA Awards?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $481
Potential profit: $481
User PnL: -$115.44

Over position

Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $431
Potential payout: $431
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $81.89

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 7?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $419
Potential profit: $419
User PnL: -$96.37

Under position

Sydney FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 1.5

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $417
Potential profit: $417
User PnL: -$150.12

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 15, 3AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $341
Potential profit: $341
User PnL: -$170.5

Yes position

Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $267
Potential profit: $267
User PnL: -$64.08

Under position

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $230
Potential profit: $230
User PnL: -$142.6

Under position

Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222
Potential profit: $222
User PnL: -$150.96

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 18 be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181
Potential profit: $181
User PnL: -$28.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178
Potential profit: $178
User PnL: -$2.85

No position

Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $120.08
Potential payout: $158
Potential profit: $37.92
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $37.92

No position

Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $155
Potential payout: $155
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $55.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $485.73

Yes position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $426

Yes position

Will Trump say "Paid a big price" or "Paying a big price" this week? (March 29)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $421.96

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Police" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $350.62

Yes position

Will "One Battle After Another" win Best Editing at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $296.67

No position

Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $295.68

Yes position

Will "Elon" or "Musk" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $292.81

Alabama Crimson Tide position

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebels

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $274.06

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ethanol" this week? (March 29)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $258.5

Yes position

Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $254.6

Yes position

Will Overtime with Bill Maher win Best Short-Form Program at the 37th PGA Awards?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $246.48

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $242.64

Yes position

Will Cirkut win 1 Grammy?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $178.64

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 6 be greater than 2,300,000?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.24

Yes position

Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $164.43

Yes position

Will Trump post "Congresswoman" on Truth Social this week?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.03

Yes position

Will "House Tour" get 15 million or more views in the first week?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $148.58

Virginia Tech Hokies position

Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Clemson Tigers

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.48

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.12

Up position

XRP Up or Down - February 16, 11PM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.5

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: $113.37

Yes position

Will Anthony Kennedy attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $112.88

Akron Zips position

Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Akron Zips

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $112.8

Yes position

Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 60.8%
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $105.11

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026?

No 90% 931 shares
Will Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026?

No 88% 931 shares
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?

No 70% 26 shares
Will Seoul have between 55-60mm of precipitation in April?

No 89% 541 shares
Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

No 88% 503 shares
Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

No 88% 572 shares
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?

No 68% 330 shares
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?

No 68% 330 shares
Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

No 88% 1,075 shares
Legends Cricket League: Southern Super Stars vs India Tigers

India Tigers 83% 693 shares
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?

No 75.8% 1,008 shares
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?

No 73% 133 shares