Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $8.01
- Potential payout
- $57.85
- Potential profit
- $49.84
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.94
Polymarket Trader
0x57c1...1863
0x57c1b9556f577bbeb21047771ac637a0e3d81863
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $11.97
- Realized PnL
- $14.89
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.2%
- Current value
- $2.95
- Potential payout
- $17.18
- Potential profit
- $14.24
- Multiplier
- 5.83x
- User PnL
- -$2.05
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.16
- Potential profit
- $12.16
- User PnL
- -$9
No position
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $1.11
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $7.99
Yes position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.93
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.97
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?No 29.1% 17.18 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 56% 8.93 shares
- Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 93.9% 29.7 shares
- China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No 90% 1.11 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No 74% 12.16 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.2% 57.85 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 77% 12.92 shares
- Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 67% 29.7 shares