Polymarket Trader

0x57D6862e9a0d025c88d55Fe41577D5E9Dfb840D0-1771787156313

0x57d6862e9a0d025c88d55fe41577d5e9dfb840d0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $440.51
Realized PnL: $349.51
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Geralt of Rivia die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $440.51
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $980.49
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: $188.39

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.78
Potential profit: $8.78
User PnL: -$4.48

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.77
Potential profit: $8.77
User PnL: -$4.56

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.27

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.45

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.6

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.13

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.55

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.99

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.15

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.15

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.91

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.91

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.71

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.37

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.34

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.1

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.1

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.1

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.1

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.84

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 19, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.84

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.84

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.83

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.77

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.72

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.72

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

No 1% 1,000 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Down 53% 8.6 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Down 52% 8.77 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

Down 51% 8.78 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Down 53% 8.75 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Down 53% 8.75 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Up 52.9% 8.47 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Up 51% 8.78 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Up 50% 9.9 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

Up 52% 8.77 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Up 52% 8.77 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Up 51% 8.78 shares